Analisis Strategi Nuklir Korea Utara Pasca Perang Dingin: Pengaruh Proliferasi Nuklir Korea Utara Terhadap Stabilitas Keamanan Asia Timur

Authors

  • Reza Adam University of Airlangga

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.37329/ganaya.v6i3.2547

Keywords:

Nuclear Proliferation, Nuclear Deterrence, North Korea, Cold War, East Asia, Security Dilemma

Abstract

Studies related to international security that focus on conflict issues, military strategy and nuclear weapons became relevant during the ongoing Cold War. However after the Cold War, issues such as nuclear strategy were no longer a major problem, instead issues like economic, technological, social and human rights became more relevant. Thus, the urgency of describing North Korea’s post-Cold War nuclear strategy and it’s impacts on security stability in East Asia is an interesting discussion. This study aims to describe how North Korea's nuclear strategy post-Cold War and how it affects the security stability of East Asia. Method applied is qualitative with a case study approach which will be anaylzed using the deterrence theory and securit dilemma. The results of the research show that North Korea's post-Cold War nuclear strategy has affected security stability in the East Asia region, which is shown from the responses of Japan, South Korea, and China which experienced a security dilemma from North Korea's nuclear proliferation deterrence. North Korea's post-Cold War nuclear strategy by carrying out nuclear proliferation ultimately created a security dilemma in the East Asian region.

References

Akaha, T. (2005). “Soft power” in japan’s security policy: Implications for alliance with the united states. Pacific Focus, 20(1), 59–91.

Azzara, H. N., & Sholeh, B. (2022). A conflict between China and Taiwan: An analysis from a realism perspective. Journal of Social Studies (JSS), ISSN(2), 229–236.

Badruzaman, I., Jehan, R., & Irsadanar, P. (2020). ASEAN Way in Korean Peninsula Peacebuilding. In IJPSS: Indonesian Journal of Peace and Security Studies (Vol. 2).

Bisley, N. (2008). Securing the “Anchor of Regional Stability”? The Transformation of the US-Japan Alliance and East Asian Security. Contemporary Southeast Asia, 30(1), 73–98.

Burns, R. D., & Coyle III, H. P. E. (2015). The challenges of nuclear non-proliferation. Rowman & Littlefield Publishers.

Campbell, J. (2021). Seoul’s Misguided Desire for a Nuclear Submarine. In Naval War College Review (Vol. 74).

Chang-Il, O. (2010). The Causes of the Korean War, 1950-1953.

Choi, J. H. (2019). Advancement of North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons and Survivability under the Kim Jong Un Regime: An Assessment based on Nuclear Deterrence Theory. Journal of the Asia-Japan Research Institute of Ritsumeikan University, 1, 73–94.

Dalton, T., & Francis, A. (2015). South Korea’s Search for Nuclear Sovereignty. Asia Policy, (19), 115–136.

Delpech, T. (2013). Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century: Lessons from the Cold War for a New Era of Strategic Piracy.

Delury, J. (2022). Feudal Contradictions between Communist Allies: Deng Xiaoping, Kim Il-Sung, and the Problem of Succession, 1976–1984. Journal of Cold War Studies, 24(2), 4–28.

Dreicer, M., & Pregenzer, A. (2014). Nuclear Arms Control, Nonproliferation, and Counterterrorism: Impacts on Public Health. American Journal of Public Health, 104(4).

Dwivedi, S. S. (2012). North Korea-China Relations: An Asymmetric Alliance. North Korean Review, 8(2), 76–93.

Fetter, S., & Wolfsthal, J. (2018). No first use and credible deterrence. Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament, 1(1), 102–114.

Fouse, D. (2004). Japan’s post-cold war North Korea Policy: hedging toward autonomy? Asian Affairs: An American Review, 31(2), 102–120.

Ha, E., & Hwang, C. (2015). The U.S.-North Korea Geneva Agreed Framework: Strategic Choices and Credible Commitments. North Korean Review, 11(1), 7–23.

Hastings, J. V, Lee, H., & Kelley, R. (2018). North Korea’s Lithium Research Networks and its Quest for a Hydrogen Bomb. Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, 30(3), 337–352.

Hughes, C. W. (2007). Implications for the Nuclear Ambitions of Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. Asia Policy, (3), 75–104.

Kim, K. (2008). Suryong’s Direct Rule and The Political Regime in North Korea Under Kim Jong Il. Asian Perspective, 32(3), 87–109.

Kristensen, H. M., & Korda, M. (2022). North Korean nuclear weapons, 2022. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 78(5), 273–294.

Kristensen, H. M., & Norris, R. S. (2017). A history of US nuclear weapons in South Korea. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 73(6), 349–357.

Lim, E. (2019). South Korea’s Nuclear Dilemmas. Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament, 2(1), 297–318.

Mahnken, T. G., & Menon, R. (2001). A Nuclear Strategy for India. In Naval War College Review (Vol. 54).

Makhroja, M. N. (2020). Understanding Juche Ideology Through Psychology of Peace and Conflict in North Korea. Review of International Relations, 2(1).

Mariani, L. (2017). Assessing North Korea’s Nuclear and Missile Programmes: Implications for Seoul and Washington. JSTOR.

Miller, S. E. (2020). Meeting the Challenges of a New Nuclear Age. 149(2), 17–36.

Moore, G. J. (2008). How North Korea threatens China’s interests: Understanding Chinese “duplicity” on the North Korean nuclear issue. International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, 8(1), 1–29.

Nakato, S. (2013). Japan’s Responses to the North Korean Nuclear Crisis: Responsive Engagement Perspectives. The Journal of East Asian Affairs, 27(1), 47–74.

Octamaya, A., Awaru, T., Samsidar, S., Tahir, M., Kaseng, E. S., & Suhaeb, F. W. (2022). Deterrence as a Nuclear Strategy: A Cold War-Era Study. An Interdisciplinary Journal of Human Theory and Praxis, 5(1).

Panda, A. (2020). Kim Jong Un and the bomb: Survival and deterrence in North Korea. Oxford University Press.

Pasyanos, M. E., & Myers, S. C. (2018). The coupled location/depth/yield problem for North Korea’s declared nuclear tests. Seismological Research Letters, 89(6), 2059–2067.

Peters, R., Anderson, J., & Menke, H. (2018). Deterrence in the 21st Century: Integrating Nuclear and Conventional Force (Vol. 12).

Przystup, J. J. (2015). The US-Japan alliance: review of the guidelines for defense cooperation.

Puchala, D. J. (2000). International Order and the Future of World Politics. Edited by T. V. Paul and John A. Hall. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999. 421p. $64.95. American Political Science Review, 94(3), 773–774.

Sagan, S. D. (1997). Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons?: Three Models in Search of a Bomb. In International Security (Vol. 21).

Shin, D. W. (2016). The Rise of the Suryong (Supreme Leader) and the Transfer of Charismatic Leadership. American Intelligence Journal, 33(1), 31–48.

Smith, S. (2016). Alternative North Korean Nuclear Futures. Non Proliferation Policy Education Center.

Sulaiman, V. Z. A. (2020). China’s Policy in Refusing North Korea Nuclear Proliferation. Global: Jurnal Politik Internasional, 22(1), 100–124.

Taylor, W. J., Smith, J. A., & Mazarr, M. J. (1990). US Troop Reductions From Korea, 1970–1990. The Journal of East Asian Affairs, 4(2), 256–286.

Voytan, D. P., Lay, T., Chaves, E. J., & Ohman, J. T. (2019). Yield Estimates for the Six North Korean Nuclear Tests From Teleseismic P Wave Modeling and Intercorrelation of P and Pn Recordings. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 124(5), 4916–4939.

Winters, R. (2005). Preventing Repeat Offenders: North Korea’s Withdrawal and the Need for Revision to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Vand. J. Transnat’l L., 38, 1499.

Downloads

Published

02-07-2023

How to Cite

Adam, R. (2023). Analisis Strategi Nuklir Korea Utara Pasca Perang Dingin: Pengaruh Proliferasi Nuklir Korea Utara Terhadap Stabilitas Keamanan Asia Timur. Ganaya : Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Dan Humaniora, 6(3), 579–593. https://doi.org/10.37329/ganaya.v6i3.2547

Issue

Section

Articles